Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.125785 0.140162 0.156057 0.175036 0.197209 0.222455 0.253602
2024-10-27 0.102288 0.120742 0.142811 0.171521 0.208437 0.255102 0.319870
2024-11-03 0.090668 0.112115 0.139475 0.177771 0.231404 0.306156 0.422710
2024-11-10 0.081697 0.104855 0.135987 0.182334 0.252261 0.358791 0.544553
2024-11-17 0.072671 0.095933 0.128490 0.179363 0.260903 0.394782 0.652520
2024-11-24 0.065144 0.087981 0.121012 0.174759 0.265485 0.424660 0.760479
2024-12-01 0.057688 0.079225 0.111143 0.164685 0.258731 0.432585 0.827945
2024-12-08 0.053676 0.075092 0.107707 0.164337 0.268483 0.473313 0.984209
2024-12-15 0.051236 0.073051 0.107214 0.168720 0.287537 0.537744 1.232062
2024-12-22 0.047319 0.068325 0.101850 0.163714 0.287386 0.560838 1.382429
2024-12-29 0.045820 0.067291 0.102438 0.169522 0.310164 0.643563 1.771469
2025-01-05 0.043171 0.064151 0.099111 0.167450 0.315732 0.685879 2.059241
2025-01-12 0.041153 0.061983 0.097408 0.168615 0.329540 0.757280 2.542592
2025-01-19 0.038468 0.058499 0.093071 0.163979 0.329113 0.789368 2.898228
2025-01-26 0.037402 0.057701 0.093517 0.169271 0.354078 0.909509 3.886664
2025-02-02 0.036246 0.056648 0.093372 0.173276 0.376888 1.035269 5.190979
2025-02-09 0.034373 0.054178 0.090300 0.170383 0.380545 1.095479 6.188049
2025-02-16 0.032498 0.051582 0.086773 0.166032 0.379282 1.137313 7.166105
2025-02-23 0.030211 0.048113 0.081296 0.156594 0.361643 1.106364 7.370220
2025-03-02 0.029078 0.046693 0.079770 0.156260 0.370993 1.195283 9.257105
2025-03-09 0.028477 0.046216 0.080085 0.160353 0.394941 1.365821 13.227819
2025-03-16 0.027061 0.044130 0.076967 0.155672 0.390032 1.395388 15.164422
2025-03-23 0.026686 0.043988 0.077849 0.161100 0.419875 1.627876 23.823293